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The exposure of U.S. Treasury bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1960–2011, it was unusually high in the 1980s and nega...
The exposure of U.S. Treasury bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1960–2011, it was unusually high in the 1980s and nega...
Can we assume that the effect of early institutions is persistent over time? Work by La Porta,Lopez de Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny, also known as the “law and finance” literature, implicitly argues ...
Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the the...
In this paper we compare two classical one-factor diffusion models which are used to model the term structure of interest rates. One of them is based on the Wiener-Bachelier process while the second o...
Most existing empirical studies on affine term structure models (ATSMs) have mainly focused on in-sample goodness-of-fit of historical bond yields and ignored out-of-sample forecast of future bond yie...

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