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How Late Can First Births Be Postponed? Some Illustrtive Population-level Calculations
First Births Illustrtive Population-level Calculations
2009/3/12
I shift, stretch, and transform the observed cohort age-schedule of first birth for Danish women born in 1963 to see how late the mean age at first birth could plausibly shift. Constraints of two kind...
Reconstruction of historical series of life tables and of age-sex structures for the Austrian population in the 19th and the first half of the 20th century
historical series age-sex life tables
2009/3/11
The paper presents the method and results of reconstructing the Austrian life tables and population age-sex composition for single years in 1870-1940. It also proposes estimates of life tables for the...
Reconstruction of population by age, sex and level of educational attainment of 120 countries for 1970-2000
population sex educational age
2009/3/11
Using demographic multi-state methods for back projecting the populations of 120 countries by age, sex and level of educational attainment from 2000 to 1970 (covering 93 percent of the 2000 world popu...
Population decline and infrastructure：The case of the German water supply system
Population decline German water supply system
2009/3/11
The dynamic interaction between population and water is usually discussed in the context of development issues in Third World countries, but rarely analysed for northern, industrialised countries. Nev...
What should be the goal of population policies? Focus on 'Balances Human Capital Development'
population policies Balances Human Capital Development
2009/3/9
Many governments in Europe report in international enquiries that they are dissatisfied with the current demographic trends in their countries. The further one goes to the east of the continent, the s...
What should be the goal of population policies? Focus on 'Balances Human Capital Development'
population policies Balances Human Capital Development
2009/3/9
Many governments in Europe report in international enquiries that they are dissatisfied with the current demographic trends in their countries. The further one goes to the east of the continent, the s...
Perturbation analysis of nonlinear matrix population models
age averages barnacles density-dependence dependency ratios elasticity homeostasis immigration matrix calculus matrix population models population cycles sensitivity Tribolium two-sex models
2008/12/16
Perturbation analysis examines the response of a model to changes in its parameters. It is commonly applied to population growth rates calculated from linear models, but there has been no general appr...
Constant global population with demographic heterogeneity
average age Cauchy-Schwarz inequality constant population heterogeneity life expectancy migration pensions population projection stationary population zero population growth
2008/12/16
To understand better a possible future constant global population that is demographically heterogeneous, this paper analyzes several models. Classical theory of stationary populations generally fails ...
Characteristics of urban regions and all-cause mortality in working-age population Effects of social environment and interactions with individual unemployment
all-cause mortality area effects cross-level interactions multilevel analysis unemployment
2008/12/16
Using Finnish register data on individuals linked to information on urban regions, this study aimed to estimate the effects of some regional characteristics on all-cause mortality among working-age po...
Stochastic forecast of the population of Poland, 2005-2050
Poland predictive distributions stochastic forecast uncertainty
2008/12/16
Forecasting the population of Poland is very challenging. Firstly, the country has been undergoing rapid demographic changes. In the 1990s, they were influenced by the political, economic, and social ...
Numbering same-sex couples in censuses and population registers
censuses population registers same-sex couples
2008/12/16
The recommendations recently issued by the Conference of European Statisticians (CES) for the next round of population and housing censuses underline for the first time that some countries might find ...
The implications of long term community involvement for the production and circulation of population knowledge
community demographic surveillance system fertility health knowledge longitudinal migration mortality South Africa
2008/12/16
Demographic surveillance systems (DSS) depend on community acceptance and involvement to produce high quality longitudinal data. Ensuring community support also exposes power relations usually conceal...
A new perspective on population aging
age/aging historical demography life expectancy median age population forecasting prospective age
2008/12/12
In Sanderson and Scherbov (2005) we introduced a new forward-looking definition of age and argued that its use, along with the traditional backward-looking concept of age, provides a more informative ...
A general temporal data model and the structured population event history register
data, data model database DSS event influence longitudinal metadata methods population register relational SPEHR state surveillance temporal
2008/12/12
At this time there are 37 demographic surveillance system sites active in sub-Saharan Africa, Asia and Central America, and this number is growing continuously. These sites and other longitudinal popu...
Population and housing A two-sided relationship
fertility household formation housing population
2008/12/12
In this paper I explore the relationship between population and housing. I argue that this relationship is two-sided. On the one hand, the size of a population, and particularly the number of househol...