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multilevel event history analysis of the effects of grandmothers on child mortality in a historical German population Krummhörn, Ostfriesland, 1720-1874
"evil mother-in-law" child mortality Germany grandmother hypothesis grandparents infant and child mortality kin selection Krummhö rn life history theory menopause multilevel event history models
2008/12/4
We analyzed data from the historic population of the Krummhörn (Ostfriesland, Germany, 1720-1874) to determine the effects of grandparents in general and grandmothers in particular on child morta...
The Fertility Pattern of Twins and the General Population Compared：Evidence from Danish Cohorts 1945-64
cohort fertility Denmark fertility twin studies
2008/12/1
Twin studies provide an important possibility for demographers to analyze patterns of heritability and to estimate structural models with controls for endowments. These possibilities are increasingly ...
Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - illustrated by the case of Norway
cohort component method, forecast errors forecasting simulation stochastic population forecast time series uncertainty
2008/12/1
Deterministic population forecasts do not give an appropriate indication of forecast uncertainty. Forecasts should be probabilistic, rather than deterministic, so that their expected accuracy can be a...
Life expectancy in two Caucasian countries How much due to overestimated population?
Armenia Georgia migration mortality population
2008/12/1
This study is a first attempt to produce reliable estimates of mortality in Georgia and Armenia in the 1990s. Official statistics registered a decrease in mortality over the 1990s in spite of local wa...
A Guide to Global Population Projections
forecasting population projections projection methodology uncertainty
2008/12/1
Interdisciplinary studies that draw on long-term, global population projections often make limited use of projection results, due at least in part to the historically opaque nature of the projection p...
Application of the Demographic Potential Concept to Understanding the Russian Population History and Prospects History and Prospects 1897-2100
demographic losses of Russia method of demographic potentials population projections Russia Russian population perspectives Russian population trends
2008/12/1
The article deals with Russian population estimates since 1897 and prospects to the end of the XXI century. Concept of demographic potential is used to examine past trends and project future tendencie...
Sex differentials in survival in the Canadian population, 1921-1997：A descriptive analysis with focus on age-specific structure
mortality mortality trends Canada sex differences in human mortality contour maps intensity regression
2008/11/28
This paper demonstrates how intensity regression and methods for visualizing demographic data can be applied to the study of sex differentials in survival in the Canadian population over the period 19...
The development of a ‘Postcode Best Fit’ methodology for producing Population Estimates for different geographies
Postcode Best Fit Population Estimates different geographies
2010/1/20
A ‘Postcode Best Fit’ methodology has been developed by the Office for National Statistics to produce population estimates for a range of different geographies which are entirely consistent with each ...
2006-based national population projections for the UK and constituent countries
2006-based national population projections the UK and constituent countries
2010/1/20
The 2006-based national population projections, carried out by the Office for National Statistics in consultation with the devolved administrations, show the population of the UK rising from 60.6 mill...
The Population Information Network (POPIN) was founded on 9 May 1979, by resolution 1979/33 of the United Nations Economic and Social Council. POPIN strives to make international, regional and nationa...
Estimating the changing population of the ‘oldest old’
the changing population the ‘oldest old’
2010/1/20
The population of England and Wales is becoming older. This poses an increasing demand for detailed data on the size and trends of the population at the oldest ages. Using the recently released Office...
Revisiting Aspects of Nigeria's Population Policy
Population Policy Nigeria Revisiting Aspects
2008/4/12
The government of Nigeria promulgated its first ever explicit and comprehensive population policy in 1988 in recognition of the adverse effects of rapid population growth against the backdrop of reces...
Fertility assumptions for the 2006-based national population projections
Fertility assumptions the 2006-based national population projections
2010/1/20
Fertility is one of the key components of the national population projections, alongside mortality and migration. For the 2006-based population projections, long-term completed family size in the UK i...
UK national population projections in perspective: How successful compared to those in other European Countries?
UK national population projections in perspective other European Countries
2010/1/20
Compared to population forecasts of other European countries, those made in the United Kingdom during the past 30 years had somewhat larger forecast errors for fertility and smaller errors for mortali...
主讲人
Shuaizhang Feng
Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
题目
Using the P90/P10 Ratio to Measure Inequality Trends with the Current Population Survey: A View from Inside the Census Bureau Vaul...