搜索结果: 1-15 共查到“地球科学总论 forecast”相关记录23条 . 查询时间(0.023 秒)
Evaluation of the high resolution WRF-Chem (v3.4.1) air quality forecast and its comparison with statistical ozone predictions
high resolution WRF-Chem air quality forecast statistical ozone predictions
2015/8/6
An integrated modelling system based on the regional online coupled meteorology–atmospheric chemistry WRF-Chem model configured with two nested domains with horizontal resolutions of 11.1 and 3.7 km h...
Optimization of NWP model closure parameters using total energy norm of forecast error as a target
NWP model closure parameters forecast error
2014/12/19
We explore the use of dry total energy norm in
improving numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecast skill. The Ensemble Prediction and Parameter Estimation System (EPPES) is utilized to estima...
Evaluation of the United States National Air Quality Forecast Capability experimental real-time predictions in 2010 using Air Quality System ozone and NO2 measurements
the United States National Air Quality Forecast Capability experimental real-time predictions Air Quality System ozone NO2 measurements
2014/12/12
The National Air Quality Forecast Capability (NAQFC) project provides the US with operational and experimental real-time ozone predictions using two different versions of the three-dimensional Communi...
Relationship between forecast precipitation relative errors and skill scores: the case of rare event frequencies
forecast precipitation relative errors skill scores
2010/2/3
This paper addresses the problem of the relationship between skill scores and forecast rainfall relative errors. The problem is approached by using synthetic time series of rainfall data representing ...
Unsatisfying forecast of a Mediterranean cyclone: a verification study employing state-of-the-art techniques
Unsatisfying forecast Mediterranean cyclone
2010/1/27
On 16–17 November 2000, a relatively intense precipitation event on the north-western Italy was heavily underestimated, mainly due to shifting error, by three operational 10-km limited area models (LA...
Quantifying the discharge forecast uncertainty by different approaches to probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast
discharge forecast forecast
2010/1/27
A probabilistic approach to flood prediction over the Reno river basin, a medium-sized catchment in Northern Italy, has been tested using two different meteorological ensemble systems. The future prec...
The application of LEPS technique for Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) in Southern Italy
LEPS Quantitative Precipitation Forecast QPF
2010/1/27
This paper reports preliminary results of a Limited area model Ensemble Prediction System (LEPS), based on RAMS, for eight case studies of moderate-intense precipitation over Calabria, the southernmos...
Numerical forecast and analysis of a tropical-like cyclone in the Ionian Sea
Numerical forecast analysis tropical-like cyclone Ionian Sea
2009/12/16
A forecasting system has been implemented for operational weather prediction over southern Italy in the framework of the RISKMED (INTERREG IIIB) project, which aims at weather-risk reduction in the ce...
Large and small scale wave forecast in the Mediterranean Sea
Large and small scale wave forecast Mediterranean Sea
2009/12/8
We describe the implementation of an operational high resolution wind and wave forecasting system in the Mediterranean Sea, and then on a limited area centred on the south-east part of Italy, covering...
Numerical forecast and analysis of a tropical-like cyclone in the Ionian Sea
Numerical forecast tropical-like cyclone Ionian Sea
2009/12/8
A forecasting system has been implemented for operational weather prediction over southern Italy in the framework of the RISKMED (INTERREG IIIB) project, which aims at weather-risk reduction in the ce...
Coupling global chemistry transport models to ECMWF's integrated forecast system
global chemistry transport models ECMWF's integrated forecast system
2010/2/5
The implementation and application of a newly developed coupled system combining ECMWF's integrated forecast system (IFS) with global chemical transport models (CTMs) is presented. The main objective ...
Large and small scale wave forecast in the Mediterranean Sea
Large and small scale wave forecast Mediterranean Sea
2009/12/16
We describe the implementation of an operational high resolution wind and wave forecasting system in the Mediterranean Sea, and then on a limited area centred on the south-east part of Italy, covering...
Numerical forecast and analysis of a tropical-like cyclone in the Ionian Sea
Numerical forecast analysis tropical-like cyclone Ionian Sea
2009/12/16
A forecasting system has been implemented for operational weather prediction over southern Italy in the framework of the RISKMED (INTERREG IIIB) project, which aims at weather-risk reduction in the ce...
Volcanic ash forecast – application to the May 2008 Chaitén eruption
Volcanic ash forecast the May 2008 Chaitén eruption
2009/12/30
We model the transport and subsequent deposition of ash from Chaitén volcano, Chile, during the first week of May 2008. The simulation couples the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) meteorological...
A hydrometeorological model intercomparison as a tool to quantify the forecast uncertainty in a medium size basin
A hydrometeorological model intercomparison the forecast a medium size basin
2009/12/30
In the framework of AMPHORE, an INTERREG III B EU project devoted to the hydrometeorological modeling study of heavy precipitation episodes resulting in flood events and the improvement of the operati...