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第五届国际地震灾害及长期影响研讨会（The 5th International Symposium on Mega Earthquake Induced Geo-disasters and Long Term Effects）
第五届 国际地震灾害及长期影响 研讨会
2018/1/11
Ten years ago, a devastating earthquake occurred in Sichuan Province, China, causing the death of almost 90 000 persons, widespread damage to urban and rural communities and the economy of the region....
2018 The 5th International Symposium on Mega Earthquake Induced Geo-disasters and Long-term Effect
2018 The 5th International Symposium Mega Earthquake Induced Geo-disasters and Long-term Effect
2017/11/27
Ten years ago, a devastating earthquake occurred in Sichuan Province, China, causing the death of almost 90 000 persons, widespread damage to urban and rural communities and the economy of the region....
Dynamical tools for the analysis of long term evolution of volcanic tremor at Stromboli
non linear analysis volcano trtemor state space reconstruction delayed coordinates
2015/10/8
Stromboli is characterized by persistent seismic activity, both in terms of tremor and of discrete events associated with moderate explosions defining the so-called "Strombolian activity". This kind o...
Long-term geomagnetic changes observed n association with earthquake swarm activities in the Izu Peninsula,Japan
Geomagnetic field tectonomagneticsm earthquake swarm total force
2015/9/28
Anomalous crustal uplift has continued since 1976 in the Izu Peninsula, Japan. Earthquake swarms have also occurred intermittently off the coast of Ito since 1978. Observations of the total intensity ...
A three-stage faulting model explains the observed quantitative relations between long-term precursory seismicity, mainshocks and aftershocks. Seismogenesis starts with the formation of a major crack,...
Long-term trends in f0 F2 over Grahamstown using Neural Networks
Solar activity magnetic activity
2015/9/25
Many authors have claimed to have found long-term trends in f0 F2 , or the lack thereof, for different stations. Such investigations usually involve gross assumptions about the variation of f0 F2 with...
Long-term trends in the ionosphere and upper atmosphere parameters
atmosphere parameters ionosphere
2015/9/14
The first part of the paper is directed to the investigation of the practical importance of possible longterm trends in the F2-layer for ionospheric prediction models. Using observations of about 50 d...
A double-branching model applied to long-term forecasting of Italian seismicity (ML≥5.0) within the CSEP project
Earthquake interactions Forecasting
2015/8/28
The purpose of this study was to apply a double-branching model to forecasting of moderate-to-large Italian seismicity within the Collaboratory Study for Earthquake Predictability project. This projec...
Short-term and long-term earthquake occurrence models for Italy: ETES, ERS and LTST
Italy earthquake occurrence models
2015/8/28
This study describes three earthquake occurrence models as applied to the whole Italian territory, to assess the occurrence probabilities of future (M ≥5.0) earthquakes: two as short-term (24 hour) mo...
A coupling alternative to reactive transport simulations for long-term prediction of chemical reactions in heterogeneous CO2 storage systems
transport simulations chemical reactions
2015/3/5
Fully coupled, multi-phase reactive transport simulations of CO2 storage systems can be approximated by
a simplified one-way coupling of hydrodynamics and reactive chemistry.
Short-lived tectonic switch mechanism for long-term pulses of volcanic activity after mega-thrust earthquakes
Short-lived tectonic switch mechanism long-term pulses volcanic activity mega-thrust earthquakes
2015/1/6
Eruptive rates in volcanic arcs increase significantly after subduction mega-thrust earthquakes. Over short to intermediate time periods the link between mega-thrust earthquakes and arc response can b...
Spectral‐element simulations of long‐term fault slip: Effect of low‐rigidity layers on earthquake‐cycle dynamics
Spectral‐element simulations of long‐term fault slip low‐rigidity layers earthquake‐cycle dynamics
2014/4/8
We develop a spectral element method for the simulation of long‐term histories of spontaneous seismic and aseismic slip on faults subjected to tectonic loading.
Our approach reproduces all stages of ...
Extreme event return times in long-term memory processes near 1/f
Extreme event return times long-term memory processes 1/f
2009/11/2
The distribution of extreme event return times and their correlations are analyzed in observed and simulated long-term memory (LTM) time series with 1/f power spectra. The analysis is based on tropica...
Long-term evolution of strongly nonlinear internal solitary waves in a rotating channel
Long-term evolution nonlinear internal solitary waves rotating channel
2009/10/30
The evolution of internal solitary waves (ISWs) propagating in a rotating channel is studied numerically in the framework of a fully-nonlinear, nonhydrostatic numerical model. The aim of modelling eff...
Water-Level Changes in Shallow Wells Before and After the 1999 İzmit and Düzce Earthquakes and Comparison with Long-Term Water-Level Observations (1999–2004), NW Turkey
ground-water well-level changes earthquake forecast continental deformation North Anatolian Fault Zone Thrace-Eskiş ehir Fault Zone 1999 İ zmit-Düzce earthquakes
2009/7/7
It is well known that earthquakes cause hydrological changes, such as drying or flooding of water wells, fluctuations in ground-water levels in wells, changes in water quality, and formation of new sp...