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Comparison of nonhomogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting
Comparison nonhomogeneous regression models probabilistic wind speed forecasting
2013/6/14
In weather forecasting, nonhomogeneous regression is used to statistically postprocess forecast ensembles in order to obtain calibrated predictive distributions. For wind speed forecasts, the regressi...
Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using Bayesian model averaging with truncated normal components
Bayesian model averaging continuous ranked probability score ensemble calibration truncated normal distribution
2013/6/13
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical method for post-processing forecast ensembles of atmospheric variables, obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models, in order to ...